McCain camp is watching Pennsylvania, Florida, and the West.
Posted by Carlos C. on Tuesday, November 4th, 2008 at 5:57 pmNot to be outdone, the McCain camp is watching North Carolina and Virginia, too.
First Read
McCain-RNC political director Mike DuHaime gave a peek into what the campaign will be watching tonight.
In Pennsylvania, he will be watching the Democratic margin in Philadelphia, he told NBC’s Chuck Todd on MSNBC today. Kerry won the city by about 412,000 votes. DuHaime said he’ll be watching to see if Obama gets to a 500,000 margin, as Democrats hope. If he doesn’t, he thinks it could be a good sign for McCain camp and may signify a long night of counting the vote in the Keystone State.
He’s also watching the margins in the Eastern Pennsylvania Philadelphia suburbs, where Democrats hope to do better than Kerry’s margins.
Kerry got the third most votes out of any county from Montgomery, northwest of Philadelphia.
DuHaime said the campaign expects to do well in rural counties. It will be interesting to see if McCain can beat Bush’s margins in the so-called T and if he shrinks margins in or flip Western PA counties won by Kerry, like Fayette, Beaver and Washington.
McCain’s team will also be watching Florida and Virginia on the East Coast and Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada in the West, DuHaime said.
Duhaime stressed that 8% of the vote came out of the Republican stronghold of the Central Time Zone Panhandle. And they’ll be watching the swing counties around Tampa as well as the margins in the I-4 corridor.
John McCain must win the following 3 of 4 states to have a legitimate shot at winning the entire election.
These states are: Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.
President Bush won all four states in 2004.
If Indiana trends towards and votes for Barack Obama, then that will be a bad omen for John McCain. However, President Bush did win Indiana in 2004 and 2000.
Vote! Vote! Vote!
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